MERIDIAN — Track Record

This week's record

A hit means the call's side, at 50% or more, matched the outcome.

• Will wire services confirm a second night of Israeli strikes in Lebanon by September 16, 2026?
  Called: very likely (83%) — Resolved YES. Called right.
• Will the US and China announce reciprocal tariff cuts by September 24, 2026?
  Called: remote (7%) — Resolved NO. Called right.
• Will the United States announce an end to the Iranian maritime blockade by September 30, 2026?
  Called: remote (5%) — Resolved NO. Called right.
• Will wire services confirm impacts or casualties from the overnight strikes on Kyiv reported September 29-30 by October 7, 2026?
  Called: likely (68%) — Resolved YES. Called right.
• Will wire services confirm a formal US-Iran ceasefire announcement before October 1, 2026?
  Called: remote (5%) — Resolved NO. Called right.

Track record: 60 resolved forecasts · Brier 0.168.